Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.063091 0.071264 0.079678 0.088958 0.098878 0.109136 0.120518
2025-05-04 0.050981 0.063260 0.076593 0.092009 0.109207 0.127677 0.148892
2025-05-11 0.041132 0.055474 0.071778 0.091361 0.113940 0.138879 0.168234
2025-05-18 0.035663 0.051630 0.070480 0.093815 0.121400 0.152500 0.189755
2025-05-25 0.031172 0.048249 0.069124 0.095663 0.127714 0.164473 0.209143
2025-06-01 0.025714 0.042936 0.064812 0.093420 0.128740 0.169953 0.220747
2025-06-08 0.021240 0.038347 0.060931 0.091278 0.129526 0.174861 0.231445
2025-06-15 0.019131 0.036747 0.060705 0.093558 0.135589 0.185969 0.249412
2025-06-22 0.016905 0.034704 0.059677 0.094636 0.140031 0.195045 0.264919
2025-06-29 0.015900 0.034362 0.060886 0.098583 0.148063 0.208498 0.285723
2025-07-06 0.014015 0.032427 0.059701 0.099217 0.151781 0.216600 0.300040
2025-07-13 0.014087 0.033651 0.063040 0.105988 0.163455 0.234619 0.326518
2025-07-20 0.011659 0.030551 0.060088 0.104291 0.164398 0.239673 0.337714
2025-07-27 0.010639 0.029790 0.060574 0.107389 0.171725 0.252891 0.359186
2025-08-03 0.008880 0.027419 0.058425 0.106638 0.173857 0.259500 0.372480
2025-08-10 0.008040 0.026670 0.058722 0.109331 0.180581 0.271960 0.393090
2025-08-17 0.007170 0.025719 0.058605 0.111361 0.186374 0.283218 0.412217
2025-08-24 0.005661 0.023111 0.055559 0.108896 0.185877 0.286248 0.420902
2025-08-31 0.004403 0.020746 0.052704 0.106541 0.185397 0.289202 0.429421
2025-09-07 0.003957 0.020264 0.053061 0.109048 0.191697 0.301042 0.449271
2025-09-14 0.003399 0.019361 0.052593 0.110233 0.196110 0.310397 0.465972
2025-09-21 0.003248 0.019562 0.054131 0.114566 0.205019 0.325741 0.490409
2025-09-28 0.002734 0.018573 0.053393 0.115262 0.208715 0.334164 0.505973